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미국 PPI 9.8% 발표, 생산자물가 "예상밖 큰 폭 하락"

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미국 PPI 9.8% 발표, 생산자물가 "예상밖 큰 폭 하락"

CPI PPI 연이어 피크아웃 연준 FOMC 금리인상 속도조절 자이언트스텝

미국  PPI 생산자물가지수 이미지 확대보기
미국 PPI 생산자물가지수
[속보] 미국 PPI 발표, CPI 이어 생산자 물가도 하락 뉴욕증시 비트코인 환호

미국 노동부가 7월 생산자물가지수 즉 PP를 발표GOtEK. 미국의 7월 CPI 소비자물가지수에 이어 상산자물가도 피크아웃을 한 것으로 드러났다. 미국 PPI 발표에서 CPI 이어 생산자물가도 큰 폭 하락한 것으로 드러나면서 뉴욕증시 비트코인 환호하고 있다.

11일 뉴욕증시에 따르면 노동부는 미국 PPI생산자물가지수가 전년동기대비 9.8%상승한 것으로 나타났다고 밝혔다. 이는 6월의 11.3%보다 크게 낮아진 것이다. 앞서 6월 생산자물가지수는 전년 대비 11.3% 상승한 바 있다. 지난 3월 기록한 전년비 11.6% 상승이라는 최고치에 거의 육박했다. PPI는 7개월 연속 10%를 웃돌았었다.그러나 7월에 9.8%로 나타나면서 10%아래로 떨어졌다. 연준 FOMC으로서는 금리인상에 속도조절을 할 수 있는 여유를 갖게 됐다. 자이언트스텝 대신 빅스텝똔느 그 이하의 긴축을 할 여건이 조성되고 있다. 7월 PPI 생산자 물가는 전월대비로는 0.5% 하락했다.

​생산자물가지수는 소비자물가지수의 선행지표로 여겨진다. 생산자물가지수가 피크아웃한 것은 앞으로 CPI가 더 떨어질 수 있는 신호로 받아들여지고 있다. 연준의 긴축에 속도조절이 예상된다.생산자물가지수 피크아웃 소식에 뉴욕증시에서 나스닥 다우 주가지수선물과 이더리움 비트코인 도지코인 등 암호가상화폐가 요동치고 있다.

미국 노동부 7월 PPI 물가지수 보도자료

Producer Price Index News Release summary

Transmission of material in this release is embargoed until USDL 22-1627

8:30 a.m. (ET), Thursday, August 11, 2022

Technical information: (202) 691-7705 * ppi-info@bls.gov * www.bls.gov/ppi

Media contact: (202) 691-5902 * PressOffice@bls.gov

PRODUCER PRICE INDEXES - JULY 2022

The Producer Price Index for final demand fell 0.5 percent in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S.

Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This decline followed advances of 1.0 percent in June

and 0.8 percent in May. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, final demand prices moved up 9.8

percent for the 12 months ended in July.

In July, the decrease in the index for final demand is attributable to a 1.8-percent decline in

prices for final demand goods. In contrast, the index for final demand services advanced 0.1

percent.

Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 0.2 percent in July

following a 0.3-percent rise in June. For the 12 months ended in July, the index for final demand

less foods, energy, and trade services increased 5.8 percent.

Final Demand

Final demand goods: The index for final demand goods fell 1.8 percent in July, the largest decline

since moving down 2.7 percent in April 2020. The July decrease can be traced to a 9.0-percent drop

in prices for final demand energy. Conversely, the indexes for final demand foods and for final

demand goods less foods and energy rose 1.0 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively.

Product detail: Eighty percent of the July decline in the index for final demand goods is attributable

to gasoline prices, which fell 16.7 percent. The indexes for diesel fuel, gas fuels, oilseeds, iron and

steel scrap, and grains also moved lower. In contrast, prices for chicken eggs jumped 43.1 percent.

The indexes for industrial chemicals and for electric power also increased. (See table 2.)

Final demand services: The index for final demand services inched up 0.1 percent in July, the third

consecutive increase. Leading the July advance, margins for final demand trade services rose 0.3
percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Prices for

final demand transportation and warehousing services moved up 0.4 percent. Conversely, final

demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing decreased 0.1 percent.

Product detail: Leading the July increase in prices for final demand services, margins for fuels and

lubricants retailing rose 12.3 percent. The indexes for services related to securities brokerage and

dealing (partial), hospital outpatient care, automobiles and automobile parts retailing, and

transportation of passengers (partial) also moved higher. In contrast, prices for portfolio management

declined 7.9 percent. The indexes for securities brokerage, dealing, and investment advice; food and

alcohol retailing; and long-distance motor carrying also fell.

Producer Price Index News Release summary

Transmission of material in this release is embargoed until USDL 22-1472

8:30 a.m. (ET), Thursday, July 14, 2022

Technical information: (202) 691-7705 * ppi-info@bls.gov * www.bls.gov/ppi

Media contact: (202) 691-5902 * PressOffice@bls.gov

PRODUCER PRICE INDEXES - JUNE 2022

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 1.1 percent in June, seasonally adjusted, the

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed advances of 0.9 percent in

May and 0.4 percent in April. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, final demand prices moved

up 11.3 percent for the 12 months ended in June, the largest increase since a record 11.6-percent

jump in March 2022.

In June, three-fourths of the advance in the index for final demand was due to a 2.4-percent rise

in prices for final demand goods. The index for final demand services increased 0.4 percent.

Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 0.3 percent in June after

advancing 0.4 percent in both May and April. For the 12 months ended in June, the index for

final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 6.4 percent.

Final Demand

Final demand goods: The index for final demand goods moved up 2.4 percent in June, the sixth

consecutive rise. Nearly 90 percent of the June increase can be traced to a 10.0-percent jump in

prices for final demand energy. The indexes for final demand goods less foods and energy and for

final demand foods advanced 0.5 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively.

Product detail: Over half of the June increase in the index for final demand goods is attributable to

gasoline prices, which jumped 18.5 percent. The indexes for diesel fuel, electric power, residential

natural gas, motor vehicles and equipment, and processed young chickens also moved higher. In

contrast, prices for chicken eggs dropped 30.2 percent. The indexes for iron and steel scrap and for

jet fuel also decreased. (See table 2.)

Final demand services: The index for final demand services rose 0.4 percent in June after climbing

0.6 percent in May. Two-thirds of the broad-based advance in June can be traced to a 0.8-percent

increase in margins for final demand trade services. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins

received by wholesalers and retailers.) Prices for final demand services less trade, transportation, and

warehousing and for final demand transportation and warehousing services also moved higher, 0.1

percent and 0.8 percent, respectively.

Product detail: Over 30 percent of the June advance in the index for final demand services can be

traced to margins for food and alcohol retailing, which rose 3.8 percent. The indexes for machinery

and equipment wholesaling, outpatient care (partial), transportation of passengers (partial),

guestroom rental, and hospital inpatient care also increased. Conversely, prices for portfolio

management declined 2.7 percent. The indexes for automobile retailing (partial) and for long-

distance motor carrying also moved lower.


김대호 글로벌이코노믹 연구소장 tiger8280@g-enews.com